The 2025 Tipping Point: Gradually, then Suddenly

Your December Dose of Soul & Science

I have been in the advertising industry for decades. I have run an agency for the past 18 years. The industry's current transformation in the past 12 months has been the most profound change and challenge I have ever been a part of.

These changes are driven primarily by two factors: 1) technological innovation and 2) complex consumer expectations. These changes have been coming for some time, but even when they hit, they still seem to happen incredibly fast and catch us off guard. If you are reading this, I am sure that you feel like we are in crazy ass times.

This famous Hemingway quote from “The Sun Also Rises,” is always apt.

“How did you go bankrupt?”

“Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.”

This sums up where the industry is today. It illustrates the concept of change occurring so incrementally that you almost don’t see it or feel it. Then, we reach a tipping point, which feels dramatic and sudden, and there is no turning back. And the good news of no turning back is that we have the opportunity right now, to get ahead of these “sudden” changes or at least keep up with the changes.

Five gradual/sudden shifts that will impact your 2025.

1. AI Disruption: This one is blindingly obvious. Artificial Intelligence is and will create more personalized and efficient marketing strategies over the next two years. And by 2027, an astounding 79% of ad spend will be algorithmically enabled, marking a significant shift in how we approach marketing.

2. Digital Dominance: Digital advertising continues its unstoppable growth, projected to capture over 62% of global ad spend and reach a staggering $513 billion in 2025. The rise of shoppable video is particularly transformative, with social commerce revenues expected to surpass USD 1 trillion by 2028. We will see sophisticated creative, media and influencer marketing continue to emerge in this space.

3. Bite-sized Content: Platforms like TikTok and Instagram Reels redefine content consumption. The paid social sector is forecasted to grow by 8.7% in 2025, reflecting the power of bite-sized, engaging content. We will see the power and potency of more mid-funnel marketing activation.

4. Humor & Levity: Connecting through creative comedy remains a powerful strategy, especially targeting Zillennial demographics. Brands need to keep their content in the tone of the platforms that consumers are inhaling.

5. Immersive Storytelling: Multi-sensory campaigns create more profound, more meaningful connections. The out-of-home (OOH) advertising sector is expected to grow by 3.9% in 2025, for example. Consumers will expect more innovative marketing experiences and for brands to surprise and delight them (hate that term-but it works) with immersive storytelling.

Keeping these five gradual/sudden changes in mind won’t leave you bankrupt but will lead you to growth.

The future of advertising is about tech disruption, personalization, and new buying habits, but it is still and always will be about big ideas, storytelling, and consistency of messaging.

From the Soul & Science Podcast

Flashback to this episode that recently won Bronze & Listener’s Choice at the Signal Awards in the Creativity & Marketing category 🏆

Building a lasting brand is all about balancing long-term strategy with short-term wins. As his title suggests, Douglas Martin is a disruptive marketer and brand growth champion with over 22 years of experience. In his role at General Mills, he’s worked on marketing initiatives from Cheerios to Yoplait, and his expertise spans several household names in addition to General Mills, with roles at Gap and Walt Disney Studios.

In this episode, you’ll learn:

• How can a company that’s not only a household name but 167 years old still disrupt its categories?

• What makes an idea not only great but a scalable $50 million great business idea.

• The value of good old-fashioned pen and paper when framing and solving big-picture problems.

• There’s no company so big that it shouldn’t keep finding new growth opportunities.

More from the Soul & Science Podcast:

As Seen In…

Rosetta Stone is breaking its two-year ad silence with a bold new campaign. Creative agency Mekanism has crafted three fresh spots that showcase how language learning can transform your world. The ads roll out under the brand's "Now We're Talking" platform, turning language acquisition from a chore into an adventure.

Clicks of the Month

Read: Sam Harris (no relation)

Waking Up is a fantastic book by neuroscientist Harris. The book targets a quarter of Americans who do not follow any religion. He argues that there is much more to being present than can ever be found in science or religion.

Listen: Leon Bridges

His latest album “Leon”, wraps a 70s sound with big production. There is a ton and I mean a ton of reverb on this album. The songs are groovy and will just make you feel good.

Watch: Bad Sisters

I am currently watching season 2, which has a 91% Tomatometer. The Garvey sisters are dealing with the secret murder of a slimy abusive husband. But as we all know, it is never the crime, but the cover-up.

From The Soul

"Paths are made by walking."

-Franz Kafka